The Canadian Conservative party is crashing,
- Shaurya Pandya
- May 6, 2017
- 2 min read
So, I just did a post on O’Leary and his influence behind the Conservative Party in Canada, but his efforts could go in vain. Why? Because the Conservative party up north is crashing and burning. Inevitably, it’s going to have to pull off a miracle to defeat the Liberals in the 2019 election. Here’s why.
As of right now, the Canadian Conservative party doesn’t know where it’s headed. It’s got some seriously mixed ideologies bubbling up in it’s atmosphere- left-winged Chong and Raitt are both candidates whom actually identify more as liberals, then you’ve got some more moderate conservatives, and then you’ve got Bernier, who now has got liberal ideologies breathing down his neck.
In short, whoever ends up leading the party won’t exactly be favored by all. For example, O’Leary supporters could move to Chong/Raitt if they feel social issues outweigh economic (and we WILL have those people), some will scatter to other, more moderate candidates, and some may end up supporting Bernier in the long run. But O’Leary isn’t the only candidate out there. We can expect the more liberal Chong and Raitt supporters to be unwilling to shift right to simply switch sides and go with their safer bet (JT), moderates will have to choose, some of which will also go left, and the Bernier supporters- well, they will support Bernier. Unless a moderate wins, there won’t be a strong agreement between the divided party. And for right now, it doesn’t seem like one will. The most likely to win is Bernier, who’s got a fairly significant lead, which in turn means a scattered party that’s mixed up all it’s ideologies into a ton of different plates, and thinks that somehow, everyone will magically put aside their radical differences and back one candidate.
Harper lost, O’Leary left, and now nobody knows where the heck they are going.
Which in turn means that his supporters- the ones right now, are really the most dependable group that can vote him into victory. But that group isn’t nearly as big enough to take on the united Liberals, led by the powerful JT and snatch back Parliament. And a division? Well, that just means more for the Liberals. Which means the Conservatives very well might need to put their heads down once again until 2025. Which, by the way, would be 15 years of no Conservative rule. And that’s if they can unite in 2025. And looking at how the ideologies are splitting, I wouldn’t put my money on it.
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